Sunday, November 30, 2008

Chinese leader says China losing competitive edge

BEIJING - Chinese President Hu Jintao warned that China has started to lose its competitive edge in trade amid the global financial crisis, as he told Communist Party leaders the challenge posed a test to the government's ability to rule, state media reported.

China's economic growth is expected to fall to about 9 percent this year, down from last year's 11.9 percent. That would be the fastest of any major economy, but Chinese leaders worry about possible unrest as unemployment rises, especially in export industries where factories are shutting down as global demand plummets.

"External demand has obviously weakened and China's traditional competitive advantage is being gradually weakened," Hu said, according to the Communist Party's official People's Daily newspaper.

Thursday, November 27, 2008

China warns of worse to come for its economy

BEIJING (AFP) - - China's economy slowed further in November, the nation's top planner said Thursday, as he warned the government was being forced to act to avoid massive unemployment and social unrest.

Zhang Ping, the minister in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission, made the sombre remarks at a briefing explaining recent measures to trigger domestic consumption and lift economic growth.

"In November, a number of economic indicators are showing accelerated decline. The production at some enterprises has encountered difficulties, especially enterprises that focus on exports," he said.

Zhang was speaking a day after China announced a 108-basis-point interest rate cut -- the steepest in 11 years -- and a few weeks after an unprecedented four-trillion-yuan (590-billion-dollar) stimulus package.

With China's economy headed towards what could become its biggest crisis in two decades, observers said Zhang's remark was significant and a warning of bleak economic data for November, to be published in the coming weeks.

"Zhang certainly gets to see November figures earlier than the rest of us," said Ma Qing, a Beijing-based analyst with consultancy CEB Monitor Group.

October figures were already far from stellar, demonstrating just how vulnerable China was to the global financial meltdown.

In one example, China's industrial output grew by just 8.2 percent in October from a year earlier, a steep decline compared with 17.9 percent year-on-year growth in October 2007.

China's economy, the world's fourth-largest, expanded by 9.0 percent in the third quarter, the lowest level in more than five years.

The World Bank this week said it expected the Chinese economy to grow by 9.2 percent in 2008 before hitting a 19-year low of 7.5 percent in 2009.

Amid the slowdown, Zhang warned there would be more job losses and potentially a rise in social unrest across the nation of 1.3 billion people.

"Some companies have stopped all or part of their operations, and this will naturally have an impact on employment. In some areas we're seeing rural workers returning back home to the countryside," said Zhang.

He defended measures taken in the south of China to support struggling enterprises, with reports of local governments earmarking major funds aimed at keeping them in business.

"I think it's necessary. If too many enterprises suspend business or stop production, it will result in large-scale unemployment, and it could trigger social instability," he said.

Warnings have increased recently from senior Chinese policy-makers about the impact the global economic crisis will have on the domestic economy.

Last week, social security minister Yin Weimin said the employment situation was already "critical" and that the full fall-out from the crisis still remained to be seen.

In Chinese cities, there is a need for 24 million new jobs every year, but currently there is only capacity to create half that number, according to official estimates.

In an indication of the kind of unrest that might be in store for China, 500 workers stormed a toy factory in the south this week, smashing windows and computers, in protest over what they called meagre severance packages.

Monday, November 3, 2008

S.Korea to spend another $11 bln to boost economy

* South Korea to spend $11 billion to help economy
* GDP growth may fall to lowest in a decade without stimulus
* Export growth hits 13-month low as demand dries up

By Cheon Jong-woo

SEOUL, Nov 3 - South Korea said on Monday it plans to pump an extra $11 billion into its economy next year to help soften the impact of the global financial storm, which is beginning to hit exports -- the country's economic lifeblood.

The pledge coincided with news of lower-than-expected inflation, which analysts saw as possibly paving the way for another interest rate cut this week after last week's record 75 basis point cut to prop up Asia's fourth largest economy.

"The Bank of Korea will likely cut the rates further, at least by 25 basis points this Friday. If not, it may push the financial market into a tailspin again," said Park Jong-youn, fixed-income analyst at Woori Investment & Securities.